Global Security Newswire: By National Journal

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    Issue for Thursday, September 11, 2003

  Terrorism  
Two Years After Sept. 11, War on Terrorism Sees Progress and Frustration Full Story
Bush Praises Progress Made in Homeland Security Since Sept. 11, 2001; Calls for New Judicial Powers Full Story
GAO Faults Northrop Grumman for Flawed Port Security Assessments Full Story
Uranium Smuggling by ABC News Might Incur Criminal Charges Full Story
Recent Stories

  Weapons of Mass Destruction  
Parliamentary Committee Clears Blair of Deliberately Exaggerating Intelligence on Iraqi Weapons Full Story
Recent Stories

  Nuclear Weapons  
Formal IAEA Talks on Iran Delayed Again as Negotiators Mull Oct. 31 Deadline Full Story
North Korea Suspends Activity at Yongbyon Full Story
Recent Stories

  Biological Weapons  
Recent Stories

  Chemical Weapons  
Tooele Incinerator Closes for Repairs, Maintenance Full Story
Environmental Officials Cite Anniston Army Depot Full Story
Recent Stories

  Missile Proliferation  
New North Korean Missile Based on Russian Technology, U.S. Officials Say Full Story
Recent Stories

  Missile Defense  
Indian Purchase of Arrow Missile Interceptor Awaits U.S. Approval Full Story
U.S.-Canadian Missile Defense Talks Advance Full Story
Recent Stories

  Missile Defense  
Los Alamos Researchers Develop Quick Dirty Bomb Analysis Technique Full Story
Recent Stories
 

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We’re going after the terrorists, wherever they hide and wherever they plan.  We will keep them on the run; we’ll bring them to justice.  We have made clear the doctrine which says, if you harbor a terrorist, if you feed a terrorist, if you hide a terrorist you’re just as guilty as the terrorist.
—U.S. President George W. Bush, speaking yesterday on the eve of the second anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.


Formal IAEA Talks on Iran Delayed Again as Negotiators Mull Oct. 31 Deadline

By Joe Fiorill
Global Security Newswire

VIENNA — Formal meetings at the International Atomic Energy Agency here were pushed back again today while diplomats debated a new draft resolution to address international concerns over Iran’s nuclear activities...Full Story

Two Years After Sept. 11, War on Terrorism Sees Progress and Frustration

Marking the second anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the White House yesterday released a report outlining U.S. progress in its war on terrorism...Full Story

Bush Praises Progress Made in Homeland Security Since Sept. 11, 2001; Calls for New Judicial Powers

By Mike Nartker
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — On the eve of the second anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, U.S. President George W. Bush yesterday praised the progress the United States has since made toward improving homeland security and he called for more judicial powers to use in the war on terrorism (see GSN, Aug. 21)...Full Story



Current Issue Thursday, September 11, 2003
Terrorism

Two Years After Sept. 11, War on Terrorism Sees Progress and Frustration

Marking the second anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks, the White House yesterday released a report outlining U.S. progress in its war on terrorism.  The report’s release, however, coincided with the broadcast of videotape showing a man believed to be terrorist mastermind Osama bin Laden (see GSN, Sept. 10).

Since the attacks against New York and Washington, the United States and its allies have “dismantled the repressive Taliban, denied al-Qaeda a safe haven in Afghanistan and defeated Saddam Hussein’s regime,” according to the Progress Report on the War on Terrorism.

In addition, about two-thirds of al-Qaeda’s senior operatives have either been killed or captured, and within the United States the Justice Department has charged 260 people in terrorism investigations, including 140 who have either pleaded guilty or have been convicted, the report says.  It also says the United States has disrupted several domestic terrorism cells and has blocked terrorists’ access to about $200 million in funding (Sammon/Seper, Washington Times, Sept. 11).

Yesterday, U.S. President George W. Bush called on Congress to provide new judicial powers to help in the war on terrorism, according to the New York Times (see related GSN story, today). 

Some Congressional Democrats have criticized Bush’s request, which was made in a speech yesterday at the FBI Academy.  White House officials, however, have said that the growing focus on the USA PATRIOT Act — a set of counterterrorism judicial measures passed soon after the Sept. 11 attacks — may help in the White House’s attempt to obtain even stronger counterterrorism laws.

“If you have a lively debate, that’s when you have the best chance to persuade the public and the Congress,” said Viet Dinh, a former senior aide to Attorney General John Ashcroft who helped to draft the PATRIOT act (Eric Lichtblau, New York Times, Sept. 11).

Bush has recently faced increasing criticism for citing the Sept. 11 attacks while promoting aspects of domestic policy unrelated to terrorism, according to the Washington Post.

Aides to Bush have said that his persistent references to the attacks reflect his personal feelings about them.  Bush “talks frequently about 9/11, but more importantly about our nation’s response to 9/11, which required a significant policy change in order to prevent future 9/11’s,” White House Communications Director Dan Bartlett said.

Some analysts have said, however, that Bush sometimes appears to rely on the mention of the attacks when facing tough questioning, according to the Post.  Some Democrats have criticized Bush for his constant references to Sept. 11, saying he uses them as justification for most of his policies and as a reason to re-elect him.

“A lot of Americans have been apprehensive, and through this constant talk, the Bush administration has been shameless in using 9/11 for partisan political gain,” Democratic National Committee Chairman Terence McAuliffe said (Mike Allen, Washington Post, Sept. 11).

Al-Qaeda

Even as the White House praises the progress made in the war on terrorism, there have been recent signs that al-Qaeda remains active, according to reports.

A videotape shown yesterday on the al-Jazeera television network showed a man believed to be bin Laden, as well as his deputy Ayman Zawahiri, according to the Washington Post.

The videotape, which al-Jazeera said was probably filmed in late April or early May, shows the two men walking in an unidentified mountainous area.  In an audio track that U.S. officials said was recorded separately, a voice identified as bin Laden’s praised the Sept. 11 attacks for doing “great damage to the enemy,” the Post reported. 

A voice identified as Zawahiri’s calls on “our brother mujaheddin in Iraq” to continue attacks on U.S. troops there, according to the Post.

“Rely on God, and pounce on the Americans just as lions pounce their prey, and bury them in Iraq’s graveyard,” the voice attributed to Zawahiri said.

U.S. intelligence officials said they believe the two men on the videotape were in fact bin Laden and Zawahiri, adding that it is still unknown when the tape was made (Eggen/Pincus, Washington Post, Sept. 11).

U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said last night that the videotape was part of an “information operations campaign” conducted by al-Qaeda to spread fear.

“The general feeling in the government is that what they’re doing is trying to pretend that they’re functioning well,” Rumsfeld said (Risen/Johnston, New York Times, Sept. 11).

U.S. intelligence analysts have begun to examine the videotape to determine where bin Laden may be hiding, according to the Associated Press. 

Afghan officials said today that the videotape helps confirm their belief that bin Laden is currently hiding within Pakistan.  They claimed that al-Qaeda and Taliban troops have launched attacks against Afghanistan from bases within Pakistan.

“Our intelligence sources have told us that al-Zawahri is in Pakistan’s tribal areas ... Americans know where he is but Pakistan should help as well,” Afghan Deputy Defense Minister Bismillah Khan said.

Pakistani Information Minister Sheikh Rashid Ahmed, however, said there was no proof that bin Laden was operating from Pakistan.

“We do not know where he is.  If somebody knows, he should let us know,” Ahmed said (Sam Ghattas, Associated Press/Yahoo!News, Sept. 11).

Meanwhile, U.S. officials have said that al-Qaeda still maintains a hidden and extensive presence within the United States that includes recruitment and fundraising activities, according to the Los Angeles Times.

U.S. authorities are investigating “at least several dozen” people suspected of being involved in al-Qaeda operations within the United States, a senior U.S. counterterrorism official said.  In addition, authorities are conducting investigations in as many as 40 states, the official said.

U.S. officials have learned that al-Qaeda has begun using new fundraising methods, such as the sale of counterfeit movies and CDs and drug trafficking, as authorities crack down on known methods, according to the official.

“Money is coming in and out of the United States,” the official said.

While U.S. officials have previously been concerned about the presence of al-Qaeda cells inside the United States, there has been increasing concern because of intelligence reports that al-Qaeda operatives are trying to enter the country through Canada, Mexico and U.S. ports and airports, the Times reported.

“I wouldn’t term it as worse” the official said, comparing the current threat posed by al-Qaeda to conditions prior to Sept. 11, 2001.  “But our knowledge base is better, so we see a deeper threat.  We certainly have a deeper appreciation for the sophistication and the capabilities that we are dealing with and the fact that we have to constantly adapt to them,” the official said (Josh Meyer, Los Angeles Times, Sept. 11).

There are also signs that al-Qaeda has launched an online recruitment effort, according to the Washington Times.  The terrorist group has published three electronic books on a new Web site, two of which detail tactics within Saudi Arabia and Iraq and one entitled The 39 Steps to Jihad (Neil Doyle, Washington Times, Sept. 11).

The U.S. State Department yesterday warned of potential al-Qaeda attacks against U.S. interests abroad, according to the Associated Press.  The warning said attacks might be conducted to coincide with the Sept. 11 anniversary.

“We are seeing increasing indications that al-Qaeda is preparing to strike U.S. interests abroad,” the department said (Associated Press/USA Today, Sept. 11).

Meanwhile, the FBI has determined that it will probably be unable to infiltrate al-Qaeda and will have to rely more on recruiting al-Qaeda operatives to serve as informants, according to USA Today.

Al-Qaeda’s radical Islamic culture and its strict recruitment process have made it almost impossible for U.S. agents to get inside.  Religious and cultural differences have made al-Qaeda harder for the FBI to infiltrate than the U.S. mafia, which took the bureau decades to do, FBI officials said.

“The risks are too great,” a former senior FBI official said (Johnson/Locy, USA Today, Sept. 11).

United States Losing Sept. 11 Sympathy

The New York Times reported today that interviews with people throughout the world indicate that the United States has lost most of the international sympathy it received in the aftermath of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

“A lot of people had sympathy for Americans around the time of 9/11, but that’s changed,” said Cathy Hearn, 31, a flight attendant from South Africa.  “They act like the big guy riding roughshod over everyone else,” Hearn said. 

Some foreign policy experts have said the U.S. push for war in Iraq helped to shift world opinion away from Washington.

“I think the turnaround was last summer, when American policy moved ever more decisively toward war against Iraq,” said Josef Joffe, co-editor of the German weekly Die Zeit.  “That’s what triggered the counteralliance of France and Germany and the enormous wave of hatred against the United States,” he said.

Other experts, however, have said that the Iraq war merely demonstrated the existing divide between the United States and the rest of the world.

“There were deep structural forces before 9/11 that were pushing us apart,” said John Mearsheimer, a political science professor at the University of Chicago.  “In the absence of the Soviet threat or of an equivalent threat, there was no way that ties between us and Europe wouldn’t be loosened,” he said.

Some people have expressed not so much dissatisfaction with the United States, but instead with the Bush administration, which they portray as arrogant, according to the Times.

“The point I would make is that with the best will in the world, President Bush is a very poor salesman for the United States, and I say that as someone who has no animus against him or the United States,” said Philip Gawaith, a financial communications consultant in London.  “Whether it’s al-Qaeda or Afghanistan, people have just felt that he’s a silly man, and therefore they are not obliged to think any harder about his position,” Gawaith said (Richard Bernstein, New York Times, Sept. 11).


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Bush Praises Progress Made in Homeland Security Since Sept. 11, 2001; Calls for New Judicial Powers

By Mike Nartker
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — On the eve of the second anniversary of the Sept. 11, 2001 terrorist attacks, U.S. President George W. Bush yesterday praised the progress the United States has since made toward improving homeland security and he called for more judicial powers to use in the war on terrorism (see GSN, Aug. 21).

During a speech at the FBI Academy in Quantico, Va., Bush praised the bureau and the Homeland Security Department, the creation of which was prompted by the attacks, for the progress they have made in improving U.S security against terrorism. 

“We’ve undertaken a global campaign against terrorist networks.  We’re going after the terrorists, wherever they hide and wherever they plan.  We will keep them on the run; we’ll bring them to justice.  We have made clear the doctrine which says, if you harbor a terrorist, if you feed a terrorist, if you hide a terrorist you’re just as guilty as the terrorist.  We’re holding regimes accountable for harboring and supporting terror,” Bush said.

He also praised a number of specific measures that have been taken since the attacks to improve homeland security, such as increases in transportation security, port and maritime security and border security (see GSN, Sept. 9). 

The Homeland Security Department is also working with the U.S. Congress on legislation that would establish uniform security standards for chemical facilities, Bush said (see GSN, Aug. 1).  The Senate Environment and Public Works Committee is currently trying to develop a compromise between two chemical security bills — one introduced in May by committee Chairman James Inhofe (R-Okla.) and a bill reintroduced earlier this year by Senator Jon Corzine (D-N.J.), a committee spokesman told Global Security Newswire.  “A major sticking point” between the two bills is a provision included in Corzine’s bill that would require chemical plant operators to adopt “inherently safer technologies,” which would replace potentially dangerous chemicals with safer alternatives, the spokesman said.  He added that the committee wants to soon move forward on a final piece of legislation.

“Since September the 11th, this nation has been unrelenting in the work of protecting the homeland and we’ll stay that way,” Bush said yesterday.  “That’s our duty.  That’s our job.  We accept the responsibility,” he said.

In addition, the White House is making a “special effort” to prepare for terrorist attacks that could involve the use of biological or chemical weapons, Bush said (see GSN, Sept. 5).  He noted the progress made in improving detection capabilities and in developing a national stockpile of treatments and vaccines against biological warfare agents.  Bush also called on the Senate to pass his House-approved Project Bioshield proposal, which seeks to spur the private development of new treatments and vaccines against biological weapons agents (see GSN, Sept. 5).

“For the sake of national security, the Senate needs to pass Project Bioshield,” Bush said.

New Judicial Powers

In his remarks yesterday, Bush also praised the controversial USA PATRIOT Act, which has been criticized by civil liberties activists and some members of Congress.  Calling the act an “essential law,” Bush praised it for increasing penalties against terrorists and for improving information sharing among U.S. counterterrorism agencies.  Bush’s praise of the act follows a cross-country speaking tour by U.S Attorney General John Ashcroft to bolster support for the act (see GSN, Aug. 20).

While the act has been helpful in the war on terrorism, more judicial powers are still needed, Bush said, adding that prosecutors face certain legal restrictions in terrorism-related cases that they do not in embezzlement or drug trafficking cases.

“For the sake of the American people, Congress should change the law and give law enforcement officials the same tools they have to fight terror that they have to fight other crime,” Bush said.

Bush called on Congress to expand the act by making it easier for law enforcement officials to obtain administrative subpoenas, which are used to obtain certain types of records.  In addition, Congress should enact legislation to make those charged with terrorism-related crimes ineligible for bail and to make the death penalty applicable to some terrorist activities, such as the sabotage of a nuclear facility, he said.

“You need to have every tool at your disposal to be able to do your job on behalf of the American people,” Bush told the FBI audience.  “The House and the Senate have a responsibility to act quickly on these matters [and] untie the hands of our law enforcement officials so they can fight and win the war against terror,” he said.

The American Civil Liberties Union, however, lashed out yesterday at the Bush administration for its proposed expansions of the act.

“It is unfortunate that President Bush would use this tragic date to continue to endorse the increasingly unpopular anticivil liberties policies of Attorney General Ashcroft and the Department of Justice,” ACLU Executive Director Anthony Romero said in a press statement.  “Rather than rubber-stamping new powers for the attorney general, the president should respond to the voices of Americans from the right, left and center and disavow the attorney general’s power grabs over the last two years,” Romero said.

Senator Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.), the top Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, warned yesterday that the Bush administration could face opposition within Congress for approval of new judicial powers.

“Since the attacks of September 11, Congress has been more than willing to consider giving the government more police powers in the war on terrorism, and Congress has done that,” Leahy said in a press statement.  “But giving the government more power is dangerous when that power is mixed with the kind of unilateralism and arrogance that have characterized this administration’s Justice Department.  Many in Congress this time will be wary of writing any more blank checks for this administration, without more accountability,” he said.

Representative John Conyers (D-Mich.), the top Democrat on the House Judiciary Committee, also criticized Bush’s proposal, suggesting it may be intended as a distraction measure.

“It is puzzling for the president to ask Congress at the eleventh hour of this session to pass these proposals quickly.  One has to wonder whether this is an attempt to distract from the administration’s failures in Iraq and the re-emergence of Osama bin Laden,” Conyers said in a statement.

While the PATRIOT Act has been criticized for possibly infringing on U.S. civil liberties, the Associated Press reported today that a new poll has found that most Americans do not believe that their legal rights have been violated by such measures.

The AP-commissioned poll found that almost 60 percent of those surveyed did not think Americans’ legal rights had been violated, according to AP.  About 50 percent of poll respondents said they believed the Bush administration had been about right in using the new laws to counter terrorism, while about 20 percent said the administration had not gone far enough.

The poll also found, however, that about two-thirds of those surveyed were concerned about the possible loss of civil liberties arising from the post Sept. 11-legislation, AP reported.

Specter Introduces Bill Calling for Increased Terrorism Penalties

Meanwhile, Senator Arlen Specter (R-Penn.) yesterday introduced a bill, the Terrorist Penalties Enhancement Act of 2003, that includes some of the provisions Bush called for in his speech.  Specter’s bill would allow prosecutors to seek the death penalty in any terrorist activity that results in death and would add the death penalty as an available punishment in several scenarios where it is currently not an option, such as the sabotage of a defense or nuclear facility.

In addition, Specter’s bill would go farther than Bush’s request by adding conspiracy and attempt to commit terrorism to the list of terrorism-related offenses that are subject to the death penalty.  Under Specter’s bill, prosecutors could also seek the death penalty for those convicted of helping to raise money for terrorism, not just those involved in the activities themselves.

“I have pressed the Department of Justice to proceed with criminal prosecutions and to seek the death penalty for terrorists and for those that fund terrorists through front organizations,” Specter said in a press statement.  “The contributors to terrorist organizations, knowing what those organizations do, are on notice.  This legislation will clear up any ambiguity and will make such contributors to terrorist organizations liable for the death penalty as accessories before the fact,” he said.


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GAO Faults Northrop Grumman for Flawed Port Security Assessments

By David McGlinchey
Global Security Newswire

WASHINGTON — A senior U.S. government auditor this week questioned the “scope and quality” of port security assessments being conducted for the Coast Guard by defense contractor Northrop Grumman (see GSN, Sept. 9).

The General Accounting Office has recommended that the Coast Guard temporarily suspend work on future assessments, which cost U.S. taxpayers at least $1 million for each port, according to Margaret Wrightson, the GAO’s director of homeland security and justice issues.

So far, 13 assessments have been completed, three are underway and preliminary work is being done at 13 other sites.  The Coast Guard planned to complete a total of 55 port security assessments, and that work is on track to be finished by the end of 2004, according to Coast Guard spokeswoman Jolie Shifflet.

As of press time, Northrop Grumman had not responded to questions on the report.

Coast Guard and port security officials who were interviewed by the GAO said that the assessments contained “factual errors” and were sometimes released before they could be reviewed.

At one port, Coast Guard personnel and security officials said they were given a survey that referred to a different facility and were “asked questions they regarded as not pertaining to security,” according to the GAO report.

A leading Republican lawmaker said that he has “serious concerns,” about the findings.

“These concerns raised by the GAO testimony must be resolved to ensure the port assessment program meets the high standards that Congress set forward,” said Representative Frank LoBiondo (R-N.J.), the chairman of the House Transportation and Infrastructure Subcommittee on the Coast Guard and Maritime Transportation.

Wrightson said that the GAO has recommended that the Coast Guard and Northrop Grumman evaluate the lessons from earlier assessment before moving on to new ones, allow port officials a greater role in the assessments, limit inquiries to security issues and allow the interested parties to review the assessments before they are finalized.

“I’m fairly optimistic that we’re going to have action on those” proposals, Wrightson said.

The GAO is also concerned that local officials have already completed some of the security assessment work.

“The contractor doesn’t need to start from ground zero,” Wrightson said.

In a statement today, the Coast Guard said that it would take the GAO report along with lessons from earlier assessments “to revise the methodology before conducting PSAs [port security assessments] in other critical seaports.”

The Coast Guard said that it would also allow participants in future assessments to review the findings before the reports are completed.


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Uranium Smuggling by ABC News Might Incur Criminal Charges

U.S. officials are examining the possibility of bringing criminal charges against ABC News reporters who, for the second consecutive year, smuggled depleted uranium into the United States for a report on ineffective port security that is scheduled to air tonight (see GSN, Sept. 13, 2002).

“We believe ABC News may have broke[n] the law and we are pursuing the appropriate course of action,” said Homeland Security Department spokesman Dennis Murphy.  “It is a question whether or not journalists should be breaking the law in the pursuit of a news story.  It’s not right for a reporter to rob a bank to prove the bank has lax security,” he added.

ABC investigative correspondent Brian Ross and his producers shipped about 15 pounds of depleted uranium — which cannot be used to develop nuclear weapons — from Jakarta to Los Angeles in a falsely labeled package.  They placed the uranium in a lead-lined, steel pipe for transport.  If properly licensed, depleted uranium may be shipped legally.

The container was not opened in Jakarta or the United States, despite being targeted for screening by U.S. border officials.  The depleted uranium emitted a radiation signature that would be similar to nondepleted uranium packaged with a thicker shielding.

“In our view, we do not believe we are in violation of the law because it was not our intent to defraud the U.S. government, to smuggle in contraband or to avoid duties,” said ABC News Vice President Jeffrey Schneider.  “It was to test the system,” he added.

Republican Senator Charles Grassley (Iowa) wrote to Attorney General John Ashcroft to support the ABC News report.

“When the media are involved, I would urge that significant caution must be used by the federal government to ensure that legitimate reporting is not chilled,” Grassley wrote.  “While embarrassed government bureaucrats may not think so, the country benefits from government mismanagement being exposed,” he added (Associated Press/USA Today, Sept. 11).


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Weapons of Mass Destruction

Parliamentary Committee Clears Blair of Deliberately Exaggerating Intelligence on Iraqi Weapons

The British Parliament’s Intelligence and Security Committee today ruled that Prime Minister Tony Blair’s office did not deliberately exaggerate intelligence that was contained in a September 2002 dossier on Iraqi weapons of mass destruction, according to the Associated Press (see GSN, Sept. 5).

The committee did criticize, however, the inclusion of a claim in the report that the Iraqi military could have deployed biological or chemical weapons within 45 minutes of being ordered to do so, AP reported.  The committee also said that British Defense Minister Geoff Hoon and his ministry had been “unhelpful and potentially misleading” by failing at first to reveal that some ministry analysts had expressed concerns about the dossier (Ed Johnson, Associated Press/Washington Post, Sept. 11).

The committee’s inquiry was conducted separately from another parliamentary inquiry into the apparent suicide of weapons expert David Kelly, who was the source for a BBC report that alleged that Blair’s office had “sexed up” prewar intelligence on Iraq, according to Agence France-Presse.

Some British newspapers have begun to speculate that Hoon may be forced to resign, AFP reported.

“Iraq inquiry leaves Hoon at the precipice,” said a headline in the London Independent (Agence France-Presse, Sept. 11).

U.S. Report to Answer Iraq WMD Questions, Rice Says

Meanwhile, U.S. national security adviser Condoleezza Rice said Monday that lingering questions surrounding Iraq’s former WMD capabilities would be answered in a report later this month by David Kay, a CIA representative in Iraq coordinating the search for weapons of mass destruction.

Kay, a senior official of the Iraq Survey Group, “is doing a thorough job now of putting together documentary evidence,” Rice said.  Kay’s work includes interviews with Iraqis and physical evidence to illustrate “a full picture of what has happened” to former Iraqi President Saddam Hussein’s alleged WMD stockpiles and “the state of his (WMD) programs,” she said (U.S. Defense Department release, Sept. 10).


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Nuclear Weapons

Formal IAEA Talks on Iran Delayed Again as Negotiators Mull Oct. 31 Deadline

By Joe Fiorill
Global Security Newswire

VIENNA — Formal meetings at the International Atomic Energy Agency here were pushed back again today while diplomats debated a new draft resolution to address international concerns over Iran’s nuclear activities.  While appearing to receive a majority of support, the new draft continued to contain a deadline for cooperation that Iran has vigorously opposed (see GSN, Sept. 10).

The new Australian-Canadian-Japanese draft resolution, which would set an Oct. 31 deadline for Iran to address concerns about its nuclear programs, today became the basis for backroom discussions by the agency’s 35-member Board of Governors.

A Western diplomat said the draft enjoys the support of at least 20 countries on the board, including the United States, and that as many as 24 could be behind the measure by tomorrow.  Formal talks of the board did not reconvene this morning as expected, and are now scheduled to resume tomorrow morning.

Iran is the object of widespread allegations, voiced most forcefully by the United States, that it is seeking to develop nuclear weapons under cover of legitimate nuclear activities.  A report issued by IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei ahead of this week’s board meeting referred often, if at times elliptically, to contradictions between Iran’s claims about its nuclear programs and the findings of IAEA experts (see GSN, Sept. 4).  The report has provided the basis for much of the discussion here, with the United States and others citing it repeatedly while arguing a hard line against Iran.

As of yesterday, the most probable mechanism for action by the board was a U.S.-supported draft resolution under which the board would give Iran an Oct. 31 deadline to take dramatic action to address the allegations of dissembling.  A rival South African resolution took a softer line, highlighting countries’ right to nuclear energy and setting no deadline for Iranian action.

Today, the two drafts were formally withdrawn in favor of the Australian-Canadian-Japanese draft, which retains the Oct. 31 deadline and enjoys the support of the United States.

The draft, obtained today by Global Security Newswire, is largely similar to the previous U.S.-backed draft.  The new draft retains the Oct. 31 deadline and mostly replicates what Iran is asked to do before the deadline.  Small compromises by both sides are apparent, however, in other parts of the text.

Where the South African draft indicated the IAEA “now has a better understanding of Iran’s nuclear program than at any time before,” the new draft reads, “The agency now has a better, although still incomplete, understanding of Iran’s nuclear program.”

Meanwhile, in an apparent compromise by the U.S. camp, the new text retains the idea that ElBaradei’s report last month was an “interim” report and does not provide the basis for final conclusions about Iran’s nuclear program.

The South African text referred to countries’ “basic and inalienable right” to nuclear energy, a formulation some diplomats said was initially opposed by the United States, while the original U.S.-backed draft stressed Iran’s responsibility to prove its activities are peaceful.  In a compromise, the new measure juxtaposes language on “Iran’s heavy responsibility to the international community regarding the transparency of its extensive nuclear activities” and “the basic and inalienable right of all member states to develop atomic energy for peaceful purposes.”

Iranian envoy Ali Akbar Salehi today maintained his blanket rejection of any measure involving a deadline.  The idea of a “date doesn’t fly with us.  It doesn’t mean anything,” Salehi said.  He also opposed various other actions demanded of Iran under the original U.S.-backed draft.

A Western diplomat described relations among various factions as cordial as discussions continue.  The diplomat painted a bleak picture, though, of communications between the United States and Iran, which are the two main players in the unfolding action but are diplomatically estranged and maintain contact only through intermediaries.

“The Iranian position on this is very hard,” the diplomat said.

No indication has yet emerged as to what consequences are envisioned if a draft containing a deadline passes and Iran fails to meet the Oct. 31 deadline.  The diplomat said there will be “full discussion” of Iran at a November board meeting and that the consequences for Iran will depend on what it does before then.  ElBaradei reportedly indicated yesterday in a closed-door board meeting that he could in November find Iran in “noncompliance” with its IAEA safeguards commitments, something the United States has sought and that could send the matter to the U.N. Security Council.


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North Korea Suspends Activity at Yongbyon

North Korea has reportedly ceased activity at its Yongbyon nuclear complex, which holds thousands of nuclear fuel rods that could be reprocessed to obtain plutonium for nuclear weapons, a U.S. official said yesterday (see GSN, Sept. 10).

“Various sensors and imagery and other things we have don’t show activity,” the official said, adding, “There’s not much indication that anything is going on there at the moment.”

The current suspension on activity might not represent a North Korean policy shift.

“I wouldn’t read too much into it,” the official said, adding that “they can start and stop fairly easily.”

Nevertheless, the move might represent Chinese pressure or North Korean willingness to show the United States that talks on the issue can make progress, the Los Angeles Times reported. 

However, a congressional source said that any intelligence released by the Bush administration is questionable.

“If the administration came up and told me now that Yongbyon is shut down, I wouldn’t necessarily believe it,” the source said.  “The administration has a huge ulterior motive to try to say they’re making progress in North Korea” (Richter/Miller, Los Angeles Times, Sept. 11).


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Biological Weapons



Chemical Weapons

Tooele Incinerator Closes for Repairs, Maintenance

Chemical incineration has been suspended at the Tooele Chemical Agent Disposal Facility in Utah while workers repair a leaking liner in a tank that holds fluid byproduct from the plant, the Associated Press reported last week (see GSN, Sept. 3).

The repair, as well as other routine maintenance work, is expected to take one month to complete (Associated Press/KSL TV, Sept. 5).

Meanwhile, emergency responders in Tooele were scheduled to hold a drill yesterday to test their response to an accident or terrorist attack at the chemical weapons depot.

The simulation — part of the Chemical Stockpile Emergency Preparedness Program’s annual training exercise — was scheduled include two highly visible incidents at the same time, according to Wade Mathews, public information officer for Tooele County Emergency Management.

About 500 people were to be involved in the exercise, according to the Tooele Transcript Bulletin (Karen Scott, Tooele Transcript Bulletin, Sept. 9).

Tooele County’s Mountain West Medical Center also recently acquired a mobile decontamination unit.

“We can take this trailer wherever the individual is.  Before we had the trailer, persons who were contaminated by chemicals or other agents had to come to the hospital for help,” according to Kip Thompson, head of the hospital’s decontamination team (Mary Hammond, Tooele Transcript Bulletin, Sept. 9).


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Environmental Officials Cite Anniston Army Depot

The Alabama Department of Environmental Management has charged the U.S. Army with violating its chemical weapons incineration permit for the Anniston Army Depot, but state officials acknowledged that the problems were not serious, the New York Times reported today (see GSN, Sept. 5).

Among the violations were improperly marked equipment and high fluid-levels in a drainage pump, according to the Times.  Depot spokesman Mike Abrams said that Army officials are addressing the issues (Ariel Hart, New York Times, Sept. 11).


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Missile Proliferation

New North Korean Missile Based on Russian Technology, U.S. Officials Say

North Korea has used Russian technology to develop a new ballistic missile, U.S. officials said yesterday (see GSN, Sept. 9).

The new intermediate-rang missile is based on the Russian SS-N-6 sea-launched ballistic missile, which has a range of up to 3,400 miles, U.S. officials said (Reuters/Financial Times, Sept. 10).  The North Korean missile, which was first reported in the South Korean Chosun Ilbo newspaper earlier this week, is land-based and does not have the range to reach the United States, a U.S. source said.  The source added that the new missile was designed to “complement” North Korea’s existing missile forces (Maxim Kniazkov, Agence France-Presse/Yahoo!News, Sept. 11).

In addition, there are also “indications” that North Korea may have begun small-scale production of its longer-range missile, the Taepodong 2, and may be ready to export the missile, a senior U.S. official said (Reuters/Financial Times).


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Missile Defense

Indian Purchase of Arrow Missile Interceptor Awaits U.S. Approval

While U.S. officials have approved Israel’s sale of ground- and air-based radars to India, New Delhi’s request to purchase Arrow missile interceptors has not yet received U.S. support, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Yosef Lapid said yesterday (see GSN, Sept. 5).

On a visit this week to India, Lapid advanced a deal to sell three airborne Phalcon radar systems, saying the deal could be closed in “a few weeks or months.”  India has already acquired Israeli ground-based Green Pine radars that would provide precise guidance for the Arrow interceptors, if India can win U.S. approval to buy them.

U.S. officials “are studying this issue and the moment they remove this obstacle, the door will be open (to sell it to India),” said Lapid.

He said that the United States has the “legal right” to reject such a sale, but that Washington has not objected to the warming relationship between India and Israel (Times of India, Sept. 11).


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U.S.-Canadian Missile Defense Talks Advance

Canadian Defense Minister John McCallum said U.S.-Canadian talks on missile defense cooperation  are “proceeding well,” the Toronto Star reported today (see GSN, June 2).

U.S. and Canadian officials met three times this summer to discuss Canada’s potential role in a continental missile defense system, according to the Star.

“I’m hoping that sometime in the fall we might be able to come back to [the] Cabinet.  But we are talking about very important issues and I’m not going to rush it,” he said.

McCallum did not say what role Canada might play in the system or whether any missiles could be based on Canadian soil (Bruce Campion-Smith, Toronto Star, Sept. 11).


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Other Issues

Los Alamos Researchers Develop Quick Dirty Bomb Analysis Technique

Researchers at Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico have developed a method for quickly identifying the components of a “dirty bomb” and discovering the culprits behind such an attack, the laboratory announced yesterday (see GSN, Jan. 3).

Before this development, identifying the isotopes used in a radiological weapon was expected to take 24 hours or more, according to the laboratory.  A team led by scientist Bennie Martinez has now developed a method to complete the work in as little as six hours.

“It’s clear the method can identify a variety of radionuclides that might be present in dirty bomb debris,” Martinez said.  “Since the method is fairly simple and uses a minimum of equipment, we believe it could be forward deployed and could provide early data to law enforcement and others following a terrorist event.  We want to help officials close in on the culprits as fast as possible,” he added (Los Alamos National Laboratory release, Sept. 10).

 


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